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Mitch Holthus

Monday, December 17, 2007

 

GROUNDHOG DAY

One of my wife's favorite movies is Groundhog Day. It's the 1993 movie starring Bill Murray as a Pittsburgh weatherman who is destined to live Groundhog Day over and over in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. In similar fashion, the Chiefs are living the same scenario over and over during the 2007 season. It's the first Chiefs offensive possession of the second half. It has doomed the Chiefs all year.

Remarkably, the Chiefs have led at halftime in four of the past seven losses. They were tied at halftime in two other games of the current seven game losing streak. In every instance, the first possession of the second half has dictated the demise of the team in ALL seven games of the current streak. It has set the tone for the second halves of all fourteen games this year. The overall season result of those possessions are as follows:

*14 total possessions
*11 punts
*10 "3 and outs"
* 2 game changing/season changing turnovers (@ Houston, Denver)
*37 pass attempts, 21 completions, 160 yards
* 5 sacks
* 4 penalties
*22 running plays, 41 yards (2.0 avg.) (6 negative runs)

Overall, the Chiefs have scored only 3 points all year on their first possession of the second half, only Carolina is worse in the NFL and they have been shut out. Moreover, the Chiefs are losing yardage and field position on these drives, changing the momentum of the game. The passing attempts are perplexing. There have more passing attempts to Kris Wilson than there have been to Tony Gonzalez on these particular drives.

The Chiefs need to win the next two games to take some momentum into 2008. They have a chance to win at Detroit and at New York against the Jets. Let's just hope that there is better production on the first possession of the second half.




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